by
James E. McDonald
Professor of Atmospheric Sciences December 27,
1969
from UFO-Evidence Website
NO
SCIENTIFICALLY ADEQUATE investigation of the UFO problem has
been carried out during the entire 22 years that have now passed since the
first extensive wave of sightings of unidentified aerial objects in the
summer of 1947. Despite continued public interest, and despite frequent
expressions of public concern, only quite superficial examinations of the
steadily growing body of unexplained UFO reports from
credible witnesses have been conducted in this country or abroad. The
latter point is highly relevant, since all evidence now points to the fact
that UFO sightings exhibit similar characteristics throughout the
world.
Charging
inadequacy of all past UFO investigations, I speak not only from a
background of close study of the past investigations, but also from a
background of three years of rather detailed personal research, involving
interviews with over five hundred witnesses in selected UFO cases, chiefly
in the U.S. In my opinion, the UFO problem, far from being the nonsense
problem that it has often been labeled by many scientists, constitutes a
problem of extraordinary scientific interest.
The grave
difficulty with essentially all past UFO studies has been
that they were either devoid of any substantial scientific content, or
else have lost their way amidst the relatively large noise-content that
tends to obscure the real signal in the UFO reports. The presence of a
percentually large number of reports of misidentified natural or
technological phenomena (planets, meteors, and aircraft, above all) is not
surprising, given all the circumstances surrounding the UFO problem. Yet
such understandable and usually easily recognized instances of
misidentification have all too often been seized upon as a sufficient
explanation for all UFO reports, while the residue of far
more significant reports (numbering now of order one thousand) are
ignored. I believe science is in default for having failed to mount any
truly adequate studies of this problem, a problem that has aroused such
strong and widespread public concern during the past two decades.
Unfortunately,
the present climate of thinking, above all since release of the latest of
a long series of inadequate studies, namely, that conducted under the
direction of Dr. E. U. Condon at the University of Colorado, will
make it very difficult to secure any new and more thorough investigations,
yet my own examination of the problem forces me to call for just such new
studies. I am enough of a realist to sense that, unless the present
AAAS UFO Symposium succeeds in making the scientific
community aware of the seriousness of the UFO problem, little immediate
response to any call for new investigation is likely to appear.
In fact,
the over-all public and scientific response to the UFO
phenomena is itself a matter of substantial scientific interest,
above all in its social-psychological aspects. Prior to my own
investigations, I would never have imagined the wide spread reluctance to
report an unusual and seemingly inexplicable event, yet that reluctance,
and the attendant reluctance of scientists to exhibit serious interest in
the phenomena in question, are quite general. One regrettable result is
the fact that the most credible of UFO witnesses are often
those most reluctant to come forward with a report of the event they have
witnessed. A second regrettable result is that only a very small number of
scientists have taken the time and trouble to search out the really
puzzling reports that tend to be diluted out by the much larger number of
trivial and non-significant UFO reports. The net result is
that there still exists no general scientific recognition of the scope and
nature of the UFO problem.
Within the
federal government, official responsibility for UFO investigations has
rested with the Air Force since early 1948.
Unidentified aerial objects quite naturally fall within the area of Air
Force concern, so this assignment of responsibility was basically
reasonable. However, once it became clear (early 1949) that UFO reports
did not seem to involve advanced aircraft of some hostile foreign power,
Air Force interest subsided to relatively low levels, marked, however, by
occasional temporary resurgence of interest following large waves of
UFO reports, such as that of 1952, or 1957, or 1965.
A most
unfortunate pattern of press reporting developed by about 1953, in which
the Air Force would assert that they had found no evidence of anything
“defying explanation in terms of present-day science and
technology” in their growing files of UFO reports. These
statements to the public would have done little harm had they not been
coupled systematically to press statements asserting that “the best
scientific facilities available to the U.S. AirForce” had been and were
being brought to bear on the UFO question. The assurances that substantial
scientificcompetence was involved in Air Force UFO
investigations have, I submit, had seriously deleterious
scientific effects. Scientists who might otherwise have done enough
checking to see that a substantial scientific puzzle lay in the UFO area
were misled by these assurances into thinking that capable scientists had
already done adequate study and found nothing. My own extensive checks
have revealed so slight a total amount of scientific competence in two
decades of Air Force-supported investigations that I can only regard the
repeated asseverations of solid scientific study of the UFO problem as the
single most serious obstacle that the Air Force has put in the way of
progress towards elucidation of the matter.
I do not
believe, let me stress, that this has been part of some top-secret
cover-up of extensive investigations by Air Force or security
agencies; I have found no substantial basis for accepting that theory
of why the Air Force has so long failed to respond appropriately to the
many significant and scientifically intriguing UFO reports coming from
within its own ranks. Briefly, I see grand foul-up but not grand cover-up.
Although numerous instances could be cited wherein Air Force spokesmen
failed to release anything like complete details of UFO reports, and
although this has had the regrettable consequence of denying scientists at
large even a dim notion of the almost incredible nature of some of the
more impressive Air Force-related UFO reports, I still feel that
the most grievous fault of 22 years of Air Force handling of the UFO
problem has consisted of their repeated public assertions that they had
substantial scientific competence on the job.
Close
examination of the level of investigation and the level of scientific
analysis involved in Project Sign (1948–9), Project Grudge
(1949–52), and Project Bluebook
(1953 to date), reveals that these were, viewed scientifically, almost
meaningless investigations. Even during occasional periods (e.g., 1952)
characterized by fairly active investigation of UFO cases, there was still
such slight scientific expertise involved that there was never any real
chance that the puzzling phenomena encountered in the most significant UFO
cases would be elucidated.Furthermore, the panels, consultants,
contractual studies, etc., that the Air Force has had working on the UFO
problem over the past 22 years have, with essentially no exception,
brought almost negligible scientific scrutiny into the picture.
Illustrative examples will be given.
The
Condon Report, released in January, 1968, after about two
years of Air Force-supported study is, in my opinion, quite inadequate.
The sheer bulk of the Report, and the inclusion of much that can
only be viewed as “scientific padding,” cannot conceal from anyone who
studies it closely the salient point that it represents an examination of
only a tiny fraction of the most puzzling UFO reports of the
past two decades, and that its level of scientific argumentation is wholly
unsatisfactory. Furthermore, of the roughly 90 cases that it specifically
confronts, over 30 are conceded to be unexplained. With so large a
fraction of unexplained cases (out of a sample that is by no means limited
only to the truly puzzling cases, but includes an objectionably large
number of obviously trivial cases), it is far from clear how Dr.
Condon felt justified in concluding that the study indicated “that
further extensive study of UFOs probably cannot be justified in the
expectation that science will be advanced thereby.”
I shall
cite a number of specific examples of cases from the Condon
Report which I regard as entirely inadequately investigated and
reported. One at Kirtland AFB, November 4, 1957, involved
observations of a wingless egg-shaped object that was observed hovering
about a minute over the field prior to departure at a climb rate which was
described to me as faster than that of any known jets, then or now. The
principal witnesses in this case were precisely the type of witnesses
whose accounts warrant closest attention, since they were CAA tower
observers who watched the UFO from the CAA tower
with binoculars. Yet, when I located these two men in the course of my own
check of cases from the Condon Report, I found that neither of them had
even been contacted by members of the University of Colorado project! Both
men were fully satisfied that they had been viewing a device with
performance characteristics well beyond anything in present or foreseeable
aeronautical technology.
The two men
gave me descriptions that were mutually consistent and that fit closely
the testimony given on Nov. 6, 1957, when they were interrogated by an Air
Force investigator. The Condon Report
attempts to explain this case as a light-aircraft that lost its way,
came into the field area, and then left. This kind of explanation runs
through the whole Condon Report, yet is wholly incapable of explaining the
details of sightings such as that of the Kirtland AFB incident.
Other illustrative instances in which the investigations summarized in the
Condon Report exhibit glaring deficiencies will be cited. I
suggest that there are enough significant unexplainable UFO reports just
within the Condon Report itself to document the need for a greatly
increased level of scientific study of UFOs.
That a
panel of the National Academy of Sciences could endorse this study
is to me disturbing. I find no evidence that the Academy panel did any
independent checking of its own; and none of that 11-man panel had any
significant prior investigative experience in this area, to my knowledge.
I believe that this sort of Academy endorsement must be criticized; it
hurts science in the long run, and I fear that this particular instance
will ultimatelyprove an embarrassment to the National Academy of
Sciences.
The
Condon Report and its Academy endorsement have
exerted a highly negative influence on clarification of the long-standing
UFO problem; so much, in fact, that it seems almost pointless to now call
for new and moreextensive UFO investigations. Yet the latter are precisely
what are needed to bring out into full light of scientific inquiry a
phenomenon that could well constitute one of the greatest scientific
problems of our times.
Some
examples of UFO cases conceded to be unexplainable in
the Condon Report and containing features of particularly
strong scientific interest:
-
Utica,
N.Y., 6/23/55
-
Lakenheath, England, 8/13/56
-
Jackson, Ala., 11/14/5
-
Norfolk, Va., 8/30/57
-
RB-47
case, 9/19/57
-
Beverly
Mass., 4/22/66
-
Donnybrook, N.D., 8/19/66
-
Haynesville, La., 12/30/66
-
Joplin,
Mo., 1/13/67
-
Colorado Springs, Colo.,
5/13/67
Some examples
of UFO cases considered explained in the Condon
Report for which I would take strong exception to the
argumentation presented and would regard as both unexplained and of strong
scientific interest:
-
Flagstaff, Ariz., 5/20/50
-
Washington, D. C., 7/19/52
-
Bellefontaine, O., 8/1/52
-
Haneda
AFB, Japan, 8/5/5
-
Gulf of
Mexico, 12/6/52
-
Odessa,
Wash., 12/10/52
-
Continental Divide, N.M., 1/26/53
-
Seven
Isles, Quebec, 6/29/5
-
Niagara
Falls, N.Y., 7/25/57
-
Kirtland AFB, N.M., 11/4/57
-
Gulf of
Mexico, 11/5/57
-
Peru,
12/30/66
-
Holloman AFB, 3/2/67
-
Kincheloe AFB, 9/11/67
-
Vandenberg AFB, 10/6/67
-
Milledgeville, Ga.,
10/20/67
Illustrative Cases The following treats in detail
the four principal UFO cases referred to in my Symposium
talk. They are presented as specific illustrations of what I regard
as serious shortcomings of case-investigations in the Condon
Report and in the 1947-69 Air Force UFO program. The
four cases used as illustrations are the following:
1. RB-47 case, Gulf Coast area, Sept. 19,
1957 2. Lakenheath RAF Station, England, August 13–14,
1956 3. Haneda AFB, Japan, August 5–6,
1952 4. Kirtland AFB, New Mexico, Nov. 4,
1957
My principal
conclusions are that scientific inadequacies in past years of UFO
investigations by Air Force Project Bluebook have not
been remedied through publication of the Condon Report, and
that there remain scientifically very important unsolved problems with
respect to UFOs. The investigative and evaluative
deficiencies illustrated in the four cases examined in detail are
paralleled by equally serious shortcomings in many other cases in the
sample of about 90 UFO cases treated in the Condon
Report. Endorsement of the conclusions of the Condon Report by the National Academy of
Sciences appears to have been based on entirely superficial
examination of the Report and the cases treated therein. Further
study, conducted on a much more sound scientific level are
needed.
Case 1.
USAF
RB-47, Gulf Coast area, September 19–20, 1957
Brief summary: An Air Force RB-47, equipped
with ECM (Electronic Countermeasures) gear, manned by six officers,
was followed over a total distance in excess of 600 miles and for a
time period of more than an hour, as it flew from near Gulfport,
Miss., through Louisiana and Texas, and into southern Oklahoma. The
unidentified object was, at various times, seen visually by the
cockpit crew (as an intense white or red light), followed by
ground-radar, and detected on ECM monitoring gear aboard the RB-47.
Simultaneous appearances and disappearances on all three of those
physically distinct “channels” mark this UFO case as especially
intriguing from a scientific viewpoint. The incident is described
as Case 5 in the Condon Report and is conceded to be unexplained. The
full details, however, are not presented in that Report.
Summary of the Case The case is long and
involved and filled with well-attested phenomena that defy easy
explanation in terms of present-day science and technology. The
RB-47 was flying out of Forbes AFB, Topeka, on a composite
mission including gunnery exercises over the Texas-Gulf area,
navigation exercises over the open Gulf, and ECM exercises in the
return trip across the south-central U.S. This was an RB-47 carrying a
six-man crew, of whom three were electronic warfare officers
manning ECM (Electronic counter-measures) gear in the aft portion of
the aircraft. One of the extremely interesting aspects of this case
is that electromagnetic signals of distinctly radar-like
character appeared definitely to be emitted by the UFO, yet it
exhibited performance characteristics that seem to rule
out categorically its having been any conventional or secret
aircraft.
I have
discussed the incident with all six officers of the crew:
-
Lewis D. Chase, pilot, Spokane, Wash.
-
James H. McCoid, copilot, Offutt AFB
-
Thomas H. Hanley, navigator, Vandenberg AFB
-
John J. Provenzano, No. 1 monitor, Wichita
-
Frank B. McClure, No. 2 monitor, Offutt AFB
-
Walter A. Tuchscherer, No. 3 monitor,
Topeka
Chase was a
Major at the time; I failed to ask for information on 1957
ranks of the others. McClure and Hanley are currently
Majors, so might have been Captains or Lieutenants in 1957. All
were experienced men at the time. Condon Project investigators only
talked with Chase, McCoid, and McClure, I
ascertained. In my checking it proved necessary to telephone
several of them more than once to pin down key points; nevertheless
the total case is so complex that I would assume that there are
still salient points not clarified either by the Colorado
investigators or by myself. Unfortunately, there appears to be no
way at present to locate the personnel involved in
ground-radar observations that are a very important part of the
whole case. I shall discuss that point below.
This
flight occurred in September 1957, just prior to the crew’s
reassignment to a European base. On questioning by Colorado
investigators, flight logs were consulted, and based on the
recollection that this flight was within a short time of departure
from Forces to Germany, (plus the requirement that the date match a
flight of the known type and geography) the 9/19/57 date seems to
have emerged. The uncertainty as to whether it was early on the 19th
or early on the 20th, cited above is a point of confusion I had not
noted until preparing the present notes. Hence I am unable to add
any clarification, at the moment; in this matter of the date confusion
found in Thayer’s discussion of the case Science in Default (1, pp.
136–138). I shall try to check that in the near future. For the
present, it does not vitiate case-discussion in any significant
way.
The
incident is most inadequately described in the Condon Report. The
reader is left with the general notion that the important parts
occurred near Ft. Worth, an impression strengthened by the fact that
both Crow and Thayer discuss meteorological data only for that
area. One is also left with no clear impression of the duration, which
was actually over an hour. The incident involved an unknown
airborne object that stayed with the RB-47 for over 600 miles. In
case after case in the Condon Report, close checking reveals that
quite significant features of the cases have been glossed over, or
omitted, or in some instances seriously misrepresented. I submit that
to fail to inform the reader that this particular case spans a
total distance-range of some 600 miles and lasted well over an hour is
an omission difficult to justify.
From my
nine separate interviews with the six crew members, I assembled a
picture of the events that makes it even more puzzling than it
seems on reading the Condon Report — and even the latter
account is puzzling enough. Just as the aircraft crossed the
Mississippi coast near Gulfport, McClure, manning the #2 monitor,
detected a signal near their 5 o’clock position (aft of the
starboard beam). It looked to him like a legitimate ground-radar
signal, but corresponded to a position out in the Gulf. This is the
actual beginning of the complete incident; but before proceeding
with details it is necessary to make quite clear what kind of
equipment we shall be talking about as we follow McClure’s
successive observations.
Under
conditions of war, bombing aircraft entering hostile territory can be
assisted in their penetrations if any of a variety of electronic
countermeasures (ECM techniques as they are collectively termed) are
brought into action against ground-based enemy radar units. The
initial step in all ECM operations is, necessarily, that of detecting
the enemy radar and quantitatively identifying a number of relevant
features of the radar system (carrier frequency, pulse repetition
frequency, scan rate, pulse width) and, above all, its bearing
relative to the aircraft heading. The latter task is particularly
ample in principle, calling only for direction-finding antennas, which
pick up the enemy signal and display on a monitor scope inside the
reconnaissance aircraft a blip or lobe that paints in the
relative bearing from which the signal is coming.
The ECM
gear used in RB-47’s in 1957 is not now classified; the #2 monitor
that McClure was on, he and the others pointed out, involved an
ALA-6 direction-finder with back-to-back antennas in a housing on the
undersurface of the RB-47 near the rear, spun at either 150 or 300
rpm as it scanned in azimuth. Inside the aircraft, its signals were
processed in an APR-9 radar receiver and an ALA-5 pulse analyzer. All
later references to the #2 monitor imply that system. The #1
monitor employed an APD-4 direction finding system, with a pair of
antennas permanently mounted on either wing tip. Provenzano
was on the #1 monitor. Tuchscherer was on the #3
monitor, whose specifications I did not ascertain because I could
find no indication that it was involved in the
observations. Returning now to the initial features of the UFO
episode, McClure at first thought he had 180-degree ambiguity in
his scope, i.e., that the signal whose lobe painted at his 5 o’clock
position was actually coming in from the 11 o’clock position
perhaps from some ground radar in Louisiana. This suspicion, he told
me, was temporarily strengthened as he became aware that the lobe
was moving upscope.
(It is
important here and in features of the case cited below to understand
how a fixed ground-radar paints on the ECM monitor scope as the
reconnaissance aircraft flies toward its general direction: Suppose
the ground radar is, at some instant, located at the 1 o’clock
position relative to the moving aircraft, i.e., slightly off the
starboard bow. As the aircraft flies along, the relative bearing
steadily changes, so that the fixed ground unit is “seen” successively
at the 2 o’clock, the 3 o’clock, and the 4 o’clock positions, etc. The
lobe paints on the monitor scope at these successive relative
azimuths, the 12 o’clock position being at the top of the scope, 3
o’clock at the right, etc. Thus any legitimate signal from a fixed
ground radar must move downscope, excluding the special cases in which
the radar is dead ahead or dead astern. Note carefully that we deal
here only with direction finding gear. Range is unknown; we are not
here speaking of airborne radar set, just a radar-frequency
direction-finder. In practice, range is obtained by triangulation
computations based on successive fixes and known aircraft
speed.)
As the
lobe continued moving upscope, McClure said the strength of the
incoming signal and its pulse characteristics all tended to confirm
that this was some ground unit being painted with 180-degree ambiguity
for some unknown electronic reason. It was at 2800 megacycles, a
common frequency for S-band search radars. However, after the lobe
swung dead ahead, his earlier hypothesis had to be abandoned for it
continued swinging over to the 11 o’clock position and continued
downscope on the port side. Clearly, no 180-degree ambiguity
was capable of accounting for this. Curiously, however, this was so
anomalous that McClure did not take it very seriously and did not
at that juncture mention it to the cockpit crew nor to his colleagues
on the other two monitors. This upscope–downscope “orbit” of the
unknown was seen only on the ALA-6, as far as I could establish.
Had nothing else occurred, this first and very significant portion
of the whole episode would almost certainly have been forgotten by
McClure.
The
signal faded as the RB-47 headed northward to the scheduled turning
point over Jackson, Miss. The mission called for simulated
detection and ECM operations against Air Force ground radar units all
along this part of the flight plan, but other developments
intervened. Shortly after making their turn westward over Jackson,
Miss., Chase noted what he thought at first were the landing lights
of some other jet coming in from near his 11 o’clock position, at
roughly the RB-47’s altitude. But no running lights were discernible
and it was a single very bright white light, closing fast. He had
just alerted the rest of the crew to be ready for sudden evasive
maneuvers, when he and McCoid saw the light almost instantaneously
change directions and rush across from left to right at an angular
velocity that Chase told me he’d never seen matched in his flight
experience. The light went from their 11 o’clock to the 2 o’clock
position with great rapidity, and then blinked out.
Immediately
after that, Chase and McCoid began talking about it on
the interphone and McClure, recalling the unusual 2800 megacycle
signal that he had seen over Gulfport now mentioned that peculiar
incident for the first time to Chase and McCoid. It occurred to him
at that point to set his #2 monitor to scan at 2800 mcs. On the
first scan, McClure told me, he got a strong 2800 mcs signal from
their 2 o’clock position, the bearing on which the luminous unknown
object had blinked out moments earlier.
Provenzano told me that right after that they had
checked out the #2 monitor on valid ground radar stations to
be sure it was not malfunctioning and it appeared to be in perfect
order. He then checked on his #1 monitor and also got a signal from
the same bearing. There remained, of course, the possibility that just
by chance, this signal was from a real radar down on the ground and
off in that direction. But as the minutes went by, and the aircraft
continued westward at about 500 kts. the relative bearing of the
2800 mcs source did not move downscope on the #2 monitor, but kept
up with them.
This
quickly led to a situation in which the entire 6-man crew focused all
attention on the matter; the incident is still vivid in the minds
of all the men, though their recollection for various details varies
with the particular activities they were engaged in. Chase varied
speed, to see if the relative bearing would change but nothing
altered. After over a hundred miles of this, with the 2800 mcs
source keeping pace with the aircraft, they were getting into the
radarcoverage area of the Carswell AFB GCI (Ground
Controlled Intercept) unit and Chase radioed that unit to ask if they
showed any other air traffic near the RB-47. Carswell GCI immediately
came back with the information that there was apparently another
aircraft about 10 miles from them at their 2 o’clock position. (The
RB-47 was unambiguously identifiable by its IFF signal; the “other
aircraft” was seen by “skin paint” Only, i.e., by direct
radar reflection rather than via an IFF transponder, Col. Chase
explained.)
This
information, each of the men emphasized to me in one way or another,
made them a bit uneasy for the first time. I asked McClure a
question that the Colorado investigators either failed to ask or did
not summarize in their report. Was the signal in all respects
comparable to that of a typical ground radar? McClure told me that
this was what baffled him the most, then and now. All the radar
signature characteristics, as read out on his ALA-5 pulse analyzer,
were completely normal — it had a pulse repetition frequency and pulse
width like a CPS-6B and even simulated a scan rate: But its
intensity, McClure pointed out, was so strong that “it would have to
had an antenna bigger than a bomber to put out that much signal.”
And now, the implications of the events over Gulfport took on new
meaning. The upscope–downscope sweep of his #2 monitor lobe implied
that this source, presuming it to be the same one now also being
seen on ground radar at Carswell GCI, had flown a circle around the
RB-47 at 30–35,000 ft altitude while the aircraft was doing about
500 kts.
Shortly
after Carswell GCI began following the two targets,
RB-47 and unknown, still another significant action unfolded.
McClure suddenly noted the lobe on the #2 monitor was beginning to go
upscope, and almost simultaneously, Chase told me, GCI called out
that the second airborne target was starting to move forward. Keep
in mind that no visual target was observable here; after blinking
out at the 12 o’clock position, following its
lightninglike traverse across the nose of the aircraft, no light
had been visible. The unknown now proceeded to move steadily around
to the 12 o’clock position, followed all the while on the #2 monitor
and on the GCI scope down at Carswell near Ft.
Worth.
As soon
as the unknown reached the 12 o’clock position, Chase and
McCoid suddenly saw a bright red glow “bigger than a house,”
Chase said, and lying dead ahead, precisely the bearing shown on the
passive radar directionfinder that McClure was on and precisely
the bearing now indicated on the GCI scope. Three independent sensing
systems were at this juncture giving seemingly consistent-indications:
two pairs of human eyes, a ground radar, and a direction-finding radar
receiver in the aircraft.
One of
the important points not settled by the Colorado investigations
concerned the question of whether the unknown was ever painted on
any radar set on the RB-47 itself. Some of the men thought the
navigator had seen it on his set, others were unsure. I eventually
located Maj. Hanley at Vandenberg and he informed me that all
through the incident, which he remembered very well, he tried,
unsuccessfully to pick up the unknown on his navigational radar
(K-system). I shall not recount all of the details of his efforts and
his comments, but only mention the end result of my two telephone
interviews with him. The important question was what sort of effective
range that set had. Hanley gave the pertinent information that it
could just pick up a large tanker of the KC-97 type at about
4 miles range, when used in the “altitude-hold” mode, with antenna
tipped up to maximum elevation. But both at the start of its
involvement and during the object’s swing into the 12 o’clock
position, GCI showed it remaining close to 10 miles in range from
the RB-47. Thus Hanley’s inability to detect it on his K-system
navigational radar in altitude hold only implies that whatever was
out there had a radar cross-section that was less than about 16 times
that of a KC-97 (roughly twice 4 miles, inverse 4th-power law), The
unknown gave a GCI return that suggested a crosssection comparable
to an ordinary aircraft, Chase told me, which is consistent with
Hanley’s non-detection of the object. The Condon Report gives the
impression the navigator did detect it, but this is not
correct.
I have
in my files many pages of typed notes on my interviews, and cannot
fill in all of the intriguing details here. Suffice it to say that
Chase then went to maximum allowable power, hoping to close with the
unknown, but it just stayed ahead at about 10 miles as GCI kept
telling them; it stayed as a bright red light dead ahead, and it
kept painting as a bright lobe on the top of McClure’s ALA-6
scope. By this time they were well into Texas still at about 35,000
ft and doing upwards of 500 knots, when Chase saw it begin to veer to
the right and head between Dallas and Ft. Worth. Getting FAA
clearance to alter his own flight plan and to make sure other jet
traffic was out of his way, he followed its turn, and then realized
he was beginning to close on it for the first time. Almost immediately
GCI told him the unknown had stopped moving on the
ground-radarscope. Chase and McCoid watched as they
came almost up to it. Chase’s recollections on this segment of the
events were distinctly clearer than McCoid’s. McCoid was, of
course, sitting aft of Chase and had the poorer view; also he
said he was doing fuel-reserve calculations in view of the excess
fuel-use in their efforts to shake the unknown, and had to look up
from the lighted cockpit to try to look out intermittently, while
Chase in the forward seat was able to keep it in sight more
nearly continuously. Chase told me that he’d estimate that
it was just ahead of the RB-47 and definitely below them when
it instantaneously blinked out, At that same moment McClure
announced on the interphone that he’d lost the 2800 mcs signal, and
GCI said it had disappeared from their scope. Such simultaneous loss
of signal on what we can term three separate channels is most
provocative, most puzzling.
Putting
the aircraft into a left turn (which Chase noted consumes about 15–20
miles at top speed), they kept looking back to try to see the light
again. And, about halfway through the turn (by then the aircraft had
reached the vicinity of Mineral Wells, Texas, Chase said),
the men in the cockpit suddenly saw the bright red light flash
on again, back along their previous flight path but distinctly
lower, and simultaneously GCI got a target again and McClure
started picking up a 2800 mcs signal at that bearing: (As I heard one
after another of these men describe all this, I kept trying to
imagine how it was possible that Condon could listen, at the October,
1967, plasma conference at the UFO Project, as Col. Chase recounted
all this and shrug his shoulders and walk out.)
Securing permission from Carswell GCI to
undertake the decidedly non-standard maneuver of diving on
the unknown, Chase put the RB-47 nose down and had reached about
20,000 ft, he recalls, when all of a sudden the light blinked out,
GCI lost it on their scope, and McClure reported loss of signal on the
#2 monitor: Three-channel consistency once more.
Low on
fuel, Chase climbed back up to 25,000 and headed north for Oklahoma.
He barely had it on homeward course when McClure got a blip dead
astern and Carswell radioed that they had a target once
more trailing the RB- 47 at about 10 miles. Rear visibility from
the topblisters of the RB-4 now precluded easy visual check,
particularly if the unknown was then at lower altitude (Chase
estimated that it might have been near 15,000 ft when he lost it in
the dive). It followed them to southern Oklahoma and then
disappeared.
Discussion This incident is an especially
good example of a UFO case in which observer credibility and
reliability do not come into serious question, a case in which more
than one (here three) channel of information figures in the
overall observations, and a case in which the reported phenomena
appear to defy explanation in terms of either natural
or technological phenomena.
In the
Condon Report,
the important initial incident in which the unknown 2800 MC source
appeared to orbit the RB-47 near Gulfport is omitted. In the Condon
Report, the reader is given no hint that the object was with
the aircraft for over 600 miles and for over an hour. No clear
sequence of these events is spelled out, nor is the reader made
aware of all of the “three-channel” simultaneous appearances or
disappearances that were so emphatically stressed to me by both
Chase and McClure in my interviews with them. But even despite those
degrees of incompleteness, any reader of the account of this case
in the Condon Report must wonder that an incident of this
sort could be left as unexplained and yet ultimately treated, along
with the other unexplained cases in that Report, as calling for no
further scientific attention.
Actually, various hypotheses (radar anomalies, mirage
effects) are weighed in one part of the Condon Report where this
case is discussed separately (pp. 136–138). But the suggestion made
there that perhaps an inversion near 2 km altitude was responsible
for the returns at the Carswell GCI unit is wholly untenable. In an
Appendix, a very lengthy but non-relevant discussion of ground
return from anomalous propagation appears; in fact, it is so
unrelated to the actual circumstances of this case as to warrant no
comment here. Chase’s account emphasized that the GCI radar(s) had
his aircraft and the unknown object on-scope for a total
flight-distance of the order of several hundred miles, including a
near overflight of the ground radar. With such wide variations in
angles of incidence of the ground-radar beam on any inversion or
duct, however intense, the possibility of anomalous propagation
effects yielding a consistent pattern of spurious echo matching the
reported movements and the appearances and disappearances of the
target is infinitesimal. And the more so in view of the simultaneous
appearances and disappearances on the ECM gear and via visible
emissions from the unknown. To suggest, as is tentatively done
on p. 138 that the “red glow” might have been a “mirage of Oklahoma
City,” when the pilot’s description of the luminous source involves
a wide range of viewing angles, including two instances when he was
viewing it at quite large depression angles, is wholly
unreasonable. Unfortunately, that kind of casual ad hoc hypothesizing
with almost no attention to relevant physical considerations runs
all through the case-discussions in the treatment of radar
and optical cases in the Condon Report, frequently (though not in
this instance) being made the basis of “explanations” that are
merely absurd. On p. 265 of the Report, the question of whether this
incident might be explained in terms of any “plasma effect” is
considered but rejected. In the end, this case is conceded to be
unexplained.
No
evidence that a report on this event reached Project Bluebook was
found by the Colorado investigators. That may seem hard to believe
for those who are under the impression that the Air Force has been
diligently and exhaustively investigating UFO reports over the past
22 years. But to those who have examined more closely the actual
levels of investigation, lack of a report on this incident is not so
surprising. Other comparable instances could be cited, and still
more where the military aircrews elected to spare themselves the
bother of interrogation, by not even reporting events about as
puzzling as those found in this RB-47 incident.
But
what is of greatest present interest is the point that here we have a
well-reported, multi-channel, multiple-witness UFO report, coming
in fact from within the Air Force itself, investigated by the
Condon Report team, conceded to be unexplained, and
yet it is, in final analysis, ignored by Dr. Condon. In no section of
the report specifically written by the principal investigator does
he even allude to this intriguing case. My question is how
such events can be written off as demanding no further scientific
study. To me, such cases seem to cry out for the most intensive
scientific study — and the more so because they are actually so much
more numerous than the scientific community yet realizes. There is
a scientific mystery here that is being ignored and shoved under the
rug; the strongest and most unjustified shove has come from the
Condon Report.
“Unjustified” because that report itself contains so many
scientifically puzzling unexplained cases (approximately 30 out of 90
cases considered) that it is extremely difficult to understand how
its principal investigator could have construed the contents of the
report as supporting a view that UFO studies should
be terminated.
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